Cobia← cobiapicks.comCobia← cobiapicks.comPolymarket prices are true no-vig probabilities and are generally well-calibrated — favorites win about as often as their price implies. Cobia maintains a live calibration study across resolved Polymarket markets (win rate by price band, confidence and sport) and grades its own 877 picks in public at 73%. Full data and a downloadable CSV are at cobiapicks.com/polymarket-accuracy-report.