MMA smart-money picks
Cobia tracks where the smart money loads up on Polymarket, posts the pick before the line moves, and grades every one in public. Here's the running MMA record — losses included.
199-87Graded record
69.6%Win rate
286Picks graded
Recent MMA picks
- MMA Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card) ✓ WON
- MMA Yes Fight to Go the Distance? ✓ WON
- MMA Cody Durden UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Main Card) ✓ WON
- MMA Over O/U 1.5 Rounds ✓ WON
- MMA Jacobe Smith UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card) ✓ WON
- MMA Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card) ✓ WON
- MMA Theodor Berggren UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando (Welterweight, Prelims) ✕ lost
- MMA Zach Reese UFC Fight Night: Mickey Gall vs. Zach Reese (Middleweight, Prelims) ✓ WON
- MMA JeongYeong Lee UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims) ✕ lost
- MMA Lucia Szabová UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) ✓ WON
- MMA Over O/U 1.5 Rounds ✕ lost
- MMA Alexander Volkov UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card) ✓ WON
- MMA Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) ✓ WON
- MMA Grant Dawson UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims) ✓ WON
- MMA Azamat Murzakanov UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) ✕ lost
Every pick is timestamped when called and auto-graded when the game resolves — nothing deleted. These are often favorites priced fairly, so the real edge is closing-line value, not flat-stake units. Past results don't guarantee future returns.