Cobia's verified NFL record is 76.5% (13-4) across 17 publicly graded picks at a 66¢ average entry — about -194 in Vegas moneyline terms — for +17.2% ROI (95% CI on hit rate 52.7–90.4%). Every pick is timestamped and graded against the settled outcome — losers included.
95% confidence interval on the hit rate: 52.7–90.4%. Breakeven is the entry price — a high hit rate on expensive favorites can still lose money, so ROI is shown beside it. Every NFL pick is timestamped at entry and graded against the settled outcome, losers included.