Cobia's verified NFL record is 68.8% (11-5) across 16 publicly graded picks at a 59¢ average entry — about -144 in Vegas moneyline terms — for +2.9 units at 1 unit per pick (95% CI on hit rate 44.4–85.8%). Every pick is timestamped and graded against the settled outcome — losers included.
95% confidence interval on the hit rate: 44.4–85.8%. Breakeven is the entry price — a high hit rate on expensive favorites can still lose money, so units are shown beside it. Every NFL pick is timestamped at entry and graded against the settled outcome, losers included.