Cobia's verified MMA record is 61.1% (22-14) across 36 publicly graded picks at a 76¢ average entry — about -317 in Vegas moneyline terms — for -7.3 units at 1 unit per pick (95% CI on hit rate 44.9–75.2%). Every pick is timestamped and graded against the settled outcome — losers included.
95% confidence interval on the hit rate: 44.9–75.2%. Breakeven is the entry price — a high hit rate on expensive favorites can still lose money, so units are shown beside it. Every MMA pick is timestamped at entry and graded against the settled outcome, losers included.