Cobia's verified MMA record is 64.7% (11-6) across 17 publicly graded picks at a 75¢ average entry — about -300 in Vegas moneyline terms — for -14.3% ROI (95% CI on hit rate 41.3–82.7%). Every pick is timestamped and graded against the settled outcome — losers included.
95% confidence interval on the hit rate: 41.3–82.7%. Breakeven is the entry price — a high hit rate on expensive favorites can still lose money, so ROI is shown beside it. Every MMA pick is timestamped at entry and graded against the settled outcome, losers included.