Cobia's verified MLB record is 62.7% (131-78) across 209 publicly graded picks at a 62¢ average entry — about -163 in Vegas moneyline terms — for +1.7% ROI (95% CI on hit rate 55.9–69%). Every pick is timestamped and graded against the settled outcome — losers included.
95% confidence interval on the hit rate: 55.9–69%. Breakeven is the entry price — a high hit rate on expensive favorites can still lose money, so ROI is shown beside it. Every MLB pick is timestamped at entry and graded against the settled outcome, losers included.