CobiaWashington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals — Prediction & Pitchers
Fri, Sep 18, 8:15 PM ET · Busch Stadium
Washington Nationals
71-82
VS8:15 PM ET
St. Louis Cardinals
75-78
STL 52% on the money line; model leans OVER 7.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
WSH
Cade Cavalli
3.12 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
STL
Kyle Leahy
3.33 ERA · struggling · 2.7 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
WSH to win65%mkt 49%
STL to win35%mkt 52%
Total (model)8.7 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: WSH ML — model 65% vs market 49% (+1670pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- James Wood WSH — 13.7% to go yard (30 HR)
- Jordan Walker STL — 13.1% to go yard (28 HR)
- Joshua Báez STL — 13.1% to go yard (7 HR)
- Andrés Chaparro WSH — 13% to go yard (11 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Busch Stadium · park factor 99 (#19) · Sunny, 76°F, wind 4 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
WSH James Wood .265 AVG · 30 HR · .909 OPS
STL Alec Burleson .284 AVG · 28 HR · .821 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
WSH
- Connelly Early 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Matt Waldron 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Drew Millas 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Orlando Ribalta 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- DJ Herz 60-Day-IL Strain
STL
- Joshua Baez Day-To-Day Soreness
- Blaze Jordan 10-Day-IL Sprain
- Hunter Dobbins 15-Day-IL Surgery
- Everson Pereira 10-Day-IL Bruise
- Max Rajcic 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
WSH 4-1 last 5 · W4
WWWWL
STL 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWWLL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: WSH 65% to win, best value on WSH ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals?
Cade Cavalli (3.12 ERA) starts for WSH; Kyle Leahy (3.33 ERA) starts for STL.
What is the prediction for Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals?
Our model favors WSH at 65% to win, with a projected 8.7 total runs.