CobiaWashington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies — Prediction & Pitchers
Mon, Aug 3, 6:40 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park
Washington Nationals
55-58
VS6:40 PM ET
Philadelphia Phillies
59-53
PHI 59% on the money line; model leans OVER 9.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
WSH
TBD
ERA —
PHI
Aaron Nola
5.61 ERA · struggling · 2.4 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
WSH to win63%mkt 42%
PHI to win37%mkt 59%
Total (model)10.5 Rline 9.5
Biggest edge: WSH ML — model 63% vs market 42% (+2180pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- James Wood WSH — 36.8% to go yard (30 HR)
- Andrés Chaparro WSH — 32.1% to go yard (6 HR)
- CJ Abrams WSH — 31.9% to go yard (28 HR)
- Kyle Schwarber PHI — 26.5% to go yard (33 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Citizens Bank Park · park factor 103 (#6) · Heavy rain, 75°F, wind 7 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball
🔥 Hot Bats
WSH James Wood .287 AVG · 30 HR · .932 OPS
PHI Kyle Schwarber .280 AVG · 33 HR · .898 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
WSH
- PJ Poulin 60-Day-IL Strain
- Andres Chaparro Day-To-Day Not Specified
- Mitchell Parker 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Brad Lord 15-Day-IL Soreness
- Richard Lovelady 60-Day-IL Strain
PHI
- Brad Keller 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Lou Trivino 15-Day-IL Spasms
- Tanner Banks 60-Day-IL Strain
- Rafael Marchan 10-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Johan Rojas 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
WSH 0-5 last 5 · L5
LLLLL
PHI 2-3 last 5 · L3
LLLWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: WSH 63% to win, best value on WSH ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies?
TBD (— ERA) starts for WSH; Aaron Nola (5.61 ERA) starts for PHI.
What is the prediction for Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies?
Our model favors WSH at 63% to win, with a projected 10.5 total runs.