CobiaWashington Nationals vs New York Mets — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 16, 1:40 PM ET · Citi Field
Washington Nationals
60-65
VS1:40 PM ET
New York Mets
55-69
NYM 61% on the money line; model leans OVER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
WSH
Jake Irvin
5.79 ERA · struggling · 3.4 R/5 allowed
NYM
Christian Scott
3.45 ERA · struggling · 2.4 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
WSH to win50%mkt 40%
NYM to win50%mkt 61%
Total (model)9.8 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: WSH ML — model 50% vs market 40% (+1070pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Francisco Alvarez NYM — 17.4% to go yard (13 HR)
- Francisco Lindor NYM — 14.1% to go yard (12 HR)
- Jared Young NYM — 13.1% to go yard (8 HR)
- CJ Abrams WSH — 12.9% to go yard (29 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Citi Field · park factor 97 (#26) · Clear , 76°F, wind 4 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
WSH James Wood .280 AVG · 30 HR · .928 OPS
NYM Carson Benge .275 AVG · 21 HR · .757 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
WSH
- James Wood 10-Day-IL Strain
- Richard Lovelady 60-Day-IL Strain
- Josiah Gray 60-Day-IL Strain
- Connelly Early 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- DJ Herz 60-Day-IL Strain
NYM
- Juan Soto 10-Day-IL Strain
- Mark Vientos 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Devin Williams 15-Day-IL Strain
- Cionel Perez 15-Day-IL Strain
- Austin Warren 15-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
WSH 1-4 last 5 · L2
LLWLL
NYM 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLLWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: WSH 50% to win, best value on WSH ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Washington Nationals vs New York Mets?
Jake Irvin (5.79 ERA) starts for WSH; Christian Scott (3.45 ERA) starts for NYM.
What is the prediction for Washington Nationals vs New York Mets?
Our model favors WSH at 50% to win, with a projected 9.8 total runs.