CobiaWashington Nationals vs New York Mets — Prediction & Pitchers
Sat, Aug 15, 4:10 PM ET · Citi Field
Washington Nationals
60-64
VS4:10 PM ET
New York Mets
54-69
NYM 56% on the money line; model leans OVER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
WSH
Brad Lord
3.79 ERA · struggling · 3.5 R/5 allowed
NYM
Sean Manaea
4.13 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
WSH to win49%mkt 45%
NYM to win51%mkt 56%
Total (model)9.1 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: WSH ML — model 49% vs market 45% (+480pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- CJ Abrams WSH — 13.3% to go yard (29 HR)
- Francisco Alvarez NYM — 13.3% to go yard (13 HR)
- Andrés Chaparro WSH — 13.1% to go yard (6 HR)
- Abimelec Ortiz WSH — 13.1% to go yard (4 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Citi Field · park factor 97 (#26) · Clear , 71°F, wind 7 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
WSH James Wood .283 AVG · 30 HR · .928 OPS
NYM Carson Benge .274 AVG · 21 HR · .747 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
WSH
- James Wood 10-Day-IL Strain
- Richard Lovelady 60-Day-IL Strain
- Josiah Gray 60-Day-IL Strain
- Connelly Early 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- DJ Herz 60-Day-IL Strain
NYM
- Mark Vientos 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Devin Williams 15-Day-IL Strain
- Cionel Perez 15-Day-IL Strain
- Austin Warren 15-Day-IL Strain
- Juan Soto 10-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
WSH 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLLWL
NYM 3-2 last 5 · W2
WWLLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: NYM 51% to win, best value on WSH ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Washington Nationals vs New York Mets?
Brad Lord (3.79 ERA) starts for WSH; Sean Manaea (4.13 ERA) starts for NYM.
What is the prediction for Washington Nationals vs New York Mets?
Our model favors NYM at 51% to win, with a projected 9.1 total runs.