CobiaWashington Nationals vs New York Mets — Prediction & Pitchers
Fri, Aug 14, 7:10 PM ET · Citi Field
Washington Nationals
60-63
VS7:10 PM ET
New York Mets
53-69
NYM 53% on the money line; model leans OVER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
WSH
Andrew Alvarez
3.76 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
NYM
Robert Stock
10.13 ERA · struggling · 3.7 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
WSH to win79%mkt 48%
NYM to win21%mkt 53%
Total (model)9.8 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: WSH ML — model 79% vs market 48% (+3160pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- CJ Abrams WSH — 13.6% to go yard (29 HR)
- Andrés Chaparro WSH — 13.2% to go yard (6 HR)
- Abimelec Ortiz WSH — 13.2% to go yard (4 HR)
- Brady House WSH — 12.9% to go yard (8 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Citi Field · park factor 97 (#26) · Clear , 73°F, wind 7 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
WSH James Wood .284 AVG · 30 HR · .928 OPS
NYM Carson Benge .274 AVG · 21 HR · .748 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
WSH
- James Wood 10-Day-IL Strain
- Richard Lovelady 60-Day-IL Strain
- Josiah Gray 60-Day-IL Strain
- Connelly Early 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- DJ Herz 60-Day-IL Strain
NYM
- Devin Williams 15-Day-IL Strain
- Cionel Perez 15-Day-IL Strain
- Austin Warren 15-Day-IL Strain
- Juan Soto 10-Day-IL Strain
- Justin Hagenman 60-Day-IL Fracture
📈 Recent Form
WSH 3-2 last 5 · W2
WWLLW
NYM 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWWLL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: WSH 79% to win, best value on WSH ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Washington Nationals vs New York Mets?
Andrew Alvarez (3.76 ERA) starts for WSH; Robert Stock (10.13 ERA) starts for NYM.
What is the prediction for Washington Nationals vs New York Mets?
Our model favors WSH at 79% to win, with a projected 9.8 total runs.