CobiaWashington Nationals vs Miami Marlins — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 23, 1:40 PM ET · loanDepot park
Washington Nationals
61-70
VS1:40 PM ET
Miami Marlins
66-64
MIA 60% on the money line; model leans OVER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
WSH
Jackson Kent
9.39 ERA · struggling · 3.5 R/5 allowed
MIA
Janson Junk
4.37 ERA · sharp · 1.9 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
WSH to win42%mkt 41%
MIA to win58%mkt 60%
Total (model)9.9 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: WSH ML — model 42% vs market 41% (+190pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Griffin Conine MIA — 17.1% to go yard (14 HR)
- Abimelec Ortiz WSH — 15.2% to go yard (5 HR)
- Owen Caissie MIA — 14.6% to go yard (13 HR)
- Andrés Chaparro WSH — 14.4% to go yard (8 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
loanDepot park · park factor 98 (#20) · Partly Cloudy , 79°F, wind 6 mph · roof closed — Roof park — weather neutral
🔥 Hot Bats
WSH James Wood .279 AVG · 30 HR · .928 OPS
MIA Liam Hicks .307 AVG · 19 HR · .795 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
WSH
- Connelly Early 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- CJ Abrams Day-To-Day Soreness
- DJ Herz 60-Day-IL Strain
- Josiah Gray 60-Day-IL Strain
- James Wood 10-Day-IL Strain
MIA
- Anthony Bender 15-Day-IL Fracture
- William Kempner 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Kyle Stowers 10-Day-IL Strain
- Andrew Nardi 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Max Meyer 15-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
WSH 1-4 last 5 · L1
LWLLL
MIA 2-3 last 5 · L3
LLLWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: MIA 58% to win, best value on WSH ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins?
Jackson Kent (9.39 ERA) starts for WSH; Janson Junk (4.37 ERA) starts for MIA.
What is the prediction for Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins?
Our model favors MIA at 58% to win, with a projected 9.9 total runs.