CobiaWashington Nationals vs Miami Marlins — Prediction & Pitchers
Fri, Aug 21, 7:10 PM ET · loanDepot park
Washington Nationals
61-68
VS7:10 PM ET
Miami Marlins
64-64
MIA 57% on the money line; model leans OVER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
WSH
Brad Lord
4.04 ERA · struggling · 2.6 R/5 allowed
MIA
Ryan Gusto
4.70 ERA · sharp · 1.8 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
WSH to win53%mkt 43%
MIA to win47%mkt 57%
Total (model)9.3 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: WSH ML — model 53% vs market 43% (+1010pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Andrés Chaparro WSH — 16.2% to go yard (8 HR)
- Griffin Conine MIA — 15.4% to go yard (14 HR)
- CJ Abrams WSH — 14.3% to go yard (29 HR)
- Abimelec Ortiz WSH — 14% to go yard (5 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
loanDepot park · park factor 98 (#20) · Overcast , 80°F, wind 11 mph · roof closed — Roof park — weather neutral
🔥 Hot Bats
WSH James Wood .279 AVG · 30 HR · .928 OPS
MIA Liam Hicks .308 AVG · 18 HR · .795 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
WSH
- CJ Abrams Day-To-Day Soreness
- Josiah Gray 60-Day-IL Strain
- DJ Herz 60-Day-IL Strain
- James Wood 10-Day-IL Strain
- Drew Millas 10-Day-IL Fracture
MIA
- Anthony Bender 15-Day-IL Fracture
- Kyle Stowers 10-Day-IL Strain
- Andrew Nardi 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Max Meyer 15-Day-IL Strain
- William Kempner 15-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
WSH 1-4 last 5 · L3
LLLWL
MIA 2-3 last 5 · W2
WWLLL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: WSH 53% to win, best value on WSH ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins?
Brad Lord (4.04 ERA) starts for WSH; Ryan Gusto (4.70 ERA) starts for MIA.
What is the prediction for Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins?
Our model favors WSH at 53% to win, with a projected 9.3 total runs.