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Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners — Prediction & Pitchers

Sun, Aug 9, 4:10 PM ET · T-Mobile Park

Tampa Bay Rays
70-46
VS4:10 PM ET
Seattle Mariners
56-62

SEA 53% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.

⚾ Starting Pitchers

TBD
TB
TBD
ERA —
Emerson Hancock
SEA
Emerson Hancock
3.33 ERA · steady · 2.2 R/5 allowed

📊 Model Read vs Market

TB to win53%mkt 48%
SEA to win47%mkt 53%
Total (model)7.1 Rline 8.5

Biggest edge: TB ML — model 53% vs market 48% (+510pts).

💣 Home Run Watch

  • Junior Caminero TB18.1% to go yard (33 HR)
  • Dominic Canzone SEA17.4% to go yard (18 HR)
  • Victor Mesa Jr. TB15.4% to go yard (9 HR)
  • Cal Raleigh SEA15% to go yard (12 HR)

🌤️ Ballpark & Weather

T-Mobile Park · park factor 95 (#29) · Clear , 67°F, wind 5 mph — Fair — no weather edge

🔥 Hot Bats

TB Junior Caminero .298 AVG · 33 HR · .923 OPS
SEA Randy Arozarena .279 AVG · 18 HR · .819 OPS

🩹 Injury Report

TB
  • Griffin Jax Day-To-Day Soreness
  • Taylor Walls Day-To-Day Not Specified
  • Ben Williamson 10-Day-IL Strain
  • Jake Fraley 60-Day-IL Surgery
  • Shane McClanahan 15-Day-IL Not Specified
SEA
  • Carlos Vargas 60-Day-IL Strain
  • Cole Wilcox 15-Day-IL Strain
  • Luke Raley 10-Day-IL Strain
  • J.P. Crawford 10-Day-IL Inflammation
  • Cooper Criswell 60-Day-IL Strain

📈 Recent Form

TB 5-0 last 5 · W5
WWWWW
SEA 1-4 last 5 · L1
LWLLL

🎯 The Cobia Pick

Our read: TB 53% to win, best value on TB ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.

Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.

FAQ

Who is pitching in Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners?

TBD (— ERA) starts for TB; Emerson Hancock (3.33 ERA) starts for SEA.

What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners?

Our model favors TB at 53% to win, with a projected 7.1 total runs.

See our full pick on this game → All MLB previews
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