CobiaTampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners — Prediction & Pitchers
Fri, Aug 7, 9:45 PM ET · T-Mobile Park · In Progress
Tampa Bay Rays
68-46
2
VS
Seattle Mariners
56-60
0
TB 88% on the money line; model leans OVER 4.5; sharps on Tampa Bay Rays.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
TB
Drew Rasmussen
2.75 ERA · sharp · 0.7 R/5 allowed
SEA
Logan Gilbert
3.42 ERA · steady · 2.0 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
TB to win68%mkt 88%
SEA to win32%mkt 13%
Total (model)6 Rline 4.5
Biggest edge: SEA ML — model 32% vs market 13% (+1900pts).
🕵️ Smart-money lean: Tampa Bay Rays — 5 sharps, 5 elite, 71% one-sided (conv 78)
💣 Home Run Watch
- Junior Caminero TB — 19% to go yard (33 HR)
- Victor Mesa Jr. TB — 15.9% to go yard (8 HR)
- Dominic Canzone SEA — 14.3% to go yard (18 HR)
- Jonathan Aranda TB — 13.3% to go yard (15 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
T-Mobile Park · park factor 95 (#29) · Sunny, 73°F, wind 5 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
TB Junior Caminero .297 AVG · 33 HR · .931 OPS
SEA Randy Arozarena .283 AVG · 18 HR · .829 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
TB
- Ben Williamson 10-Day-IL Strain
- Jake Fraley 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Shane McClanahan 15-Day-IL Not Specified
- Cole Sulser 15-Day-IL Spasms
- Manuel Rodriguez 60-Day-IL Surgery
SEA
- Cole Wilcox 15-Day-IL Strain
- Luke Raley 10-Day-IL Strain
- Carlos Vargas 60-Day-IL Strain
- J.P. Crawford 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Cooper Criswell 60-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
TB 4-1 last 5 · W1
WLWWW
SEA 3-2 last 5 · W2
WWLWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: TB 68% to win, best value on SEA ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners?
Drew Rasmussen (2.75 ERA) starts for TB; Logan Gilbert (3.42 ERA) starts for SEA.
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners?
Our model favors TB at 68% to win, with a projected 6 total runs.