CobiaTampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies — Prediction & Pitchers
Wed, Aug 5, 3:10 PM ET · Coors Field
Tampa Bay Rays
67-46
VS3:10 PM ET
Colorado Rockies
45-69
TB 61% on the money line; model leans UNDER 11.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
TB
Nick Martinez
2.77 ERA · steady · 2.0 R/5 allowed
COL
Tomoyuki Sugano
4.47 ERA · sharp · 1.8 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
TB to win59%mkt 61%
COL to win41%mkt 40%
Total (model)9.8 Rline 11.5
Biggest edge: COL ML — model 41% vs market 40% (+190pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Junior Caminero TB — 37.4% to go yard (32 HR)
- Victor Mesa Jr. TB — 30.7% to go yard (8 HR)
- Hunter Goodman COL — 29.5% to go yard (33 HR)
- Jonathan Aranda TB — 24.3% to go yard (14 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Coors Field · park factor 115 (#1) · Clear , 67°F, wind 9 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
TB Junior Caminero .300 AVG · 32 HR · .925 OPS
COL Hunter Goodman .294 AVG · 33 HR · .871 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
TB
- Jake Fraley 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Shane McClanahan 15-Day-IL Not Specified
- Cole Sulser 15-Day-IL Spasms
- Manuel Rodriguez 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Gavin Lux 60-Day-IL Inflammation
COL
- Jose Quintana 60-Day-IL Sprain
- Jeff Criswell 15-Day-IL Strain
- Blas Castano 15-Day-IL Strain
- Jaden Hill 15-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Chase Dollander 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
TB 3-2 last 5 · L1
LWLWW
COL 3-2 last 5 · W3
WWWLL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: TB 59% to win, best value on COL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies?
Nick Martinez (2.77 ERA) starts for TB; Tomoyuki Sugano (4.47 ERA) starts for COL.
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies?
Our model favors TB at 59% to win, with a projected 9.8 total runs.