CobiaTampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 23, 1:35 PM ET · Camden Yards
Tampa Bay Rays
76-53
VS1:35 PM ET
Baltimore Orioles
63-67
TB 52% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
TB
Nick Martinez
3.05 ERA · struggling · 2.5 R/5 allowed
BAL
Shane Baz
4.02 ERA · struggling · 2.5 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
TB to win58%mkt 52%
BAL to win42%mkt 49%
Total (model)9 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: TB ML — model 58% vs market 52% (+660pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand BAL — 16.6% to go yard (6 HR)
- Pete Alonso BAL — 16.2% to go yard (30 HR)
- Samuel Basallo BAL — 15.3% to go yard (17 HR)
- Coby Mayo BAL — 14.7% to go yard (17 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Camden Yards · park factor 105 (#4) · Light rain, 71°F, wind 6 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball
🔥 Hot Bats
TB Junior Caminero .308 AVG · 35 HR · .895 OPS
BAL Pete Alonso .273 AVG · 30 HR · .866 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
TB
- Cole Sulser 15-Day-IL Spasms
- Griffin Jax 15-Day-IL Soreness
- Manuel Rodriguez 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Edwin Uceta 60-Day-IL Strain
- Jake Fraley 60-Day-IL Surgery
BAL
- Felix Bautista 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Blaze Alexander 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Ryan Helsley 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Colin Selby 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Ryan Mountcastle 60-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
TB 1-4 last 5 · L1
LWLLL
BAL 2-3 last 5 · L3
LLLWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: TB 58% to win, best value on TB ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles?
Nick Martinez (3.05 ERA) starts for TB; Shane Baz (4.02 ERA) starts for BAL.
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles?
Our model favors TB at 58% to win, with a projected 9 total runs.