CobiaSt. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies — Prediction & Pitchers
Sat, Aug 22, 6:05 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park · Final
St. Louis Cardinals
66-65
3
VS
Philadelphia Phillies
72-58
12
FINAL · STL 3–12 PHI
⚾ Starting Pitchers
STL
Quinn Mathews
6.43 ERA · struggling · 2.9 R/5 allowed
PHI
Andrew Painter
6.04 ERA · steady · 2.2 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
STL to win47%mkt 0%
PHI to win53%mkt 100%
Total (model)9.8 Rline 9.5
Biggest edge: STL ML — model 47% vs market 0% (+4700pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Kyle Schwarber PHI — 16.1% to go yard (38 HR)
- Bryce Harper PHI — 13% to go yard (26 HR)
- Jordan Walker STL — 12.9% to go yard (27 HR)
- Derek Hill PHI — 12.9% to go yard (9 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Citizens Bank Park · park factor 103 (#6) · Light rain, 69°F, wind 3 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball
🔥 Hot Bats
STL Jordan Walker .289 AVG · 27 HR · .856 OPS
PHI Kyle Schwarber .276 AVG · 38 HR · .892 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
STL
- Masyn Winn Day-To-Day Soreness
- Hunter Dobbins 15-Day-IL Soreness
- Everson Pereira Out Soreness
- Andre Pallante 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Ramon Urias 60-Day-IL Tendinitis
PHI
- Derek Hill Day-To-Day Soreness
- Luis Arraez Day-To-Day Cramps
- Felix Reyes 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Tanner Banks 60-Day-IL Strain
- Rafael Marchan 10-Day-IL Tendinitis
📈 Recent Form
STL 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLWLL
PHI 5-0 last 5 · W5
WWWWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: PHI 53% to win, best value on STL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies?
Quinn Mathews (6.43 ERA) starts for STL; Andrew Painter (6.04 ERA) starts for PHI.
What is the prediction for St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies?
Our model favors PHI at 53% to win, with a projected 9.8 total runs.