CobiaSt. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies — Prediction & Pitchers
Fri, Aug 21, 6:40 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park
St. Louis Cardinals
66-63
VS6:40 PM ET
Philadelphia Phillies
70-58
PHI 66% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
STL
TBD
ERA —
PHI
Jesús Luzardo
3.23 ERA · sharp · 1.1 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
STL to win36%mkt 35%
PHI to win64%mkt 66%
Total (model)7.8 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: STL ML — model 36% vs market 35% (+140pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Kyle Schwarber PHI — 17.5% to go yard (37 HR)
- Bryce Harper PHI — 13.6% to go yard (25 HR)
- Derek Hill PHI — 13.4% to go yard (9 HR)
- Brandon Marsh PHI — 12.8% to go yard (17 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Citizens Bank Park · park factor 103 (#6) · Heavy rain, 67°F, wind 8 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball
🔥 Hot Bats
STL Jordan Walker .288 AVG · 26 HR · .854 OPS
PHI Kyle Schwarber .274 AVG · 37 HR · .888 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
STL
- Ramon Urias 60-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Max Rajcic 60-Day-IL Surgery
PHI
- Felix Reyes 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Tanner Banks 60-Day-IL Strain
- Rafael Marchan 10-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Caleb Kilian 15-Day-IL Strain
- Brad Keller 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
STL 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWLW
PHI 5-0 last 5 · W5
WWWWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: PHI 64% to win, best value on STL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies?
TBD (— ERA) starts for STL; Jesús Luzardo (3.23 ERA) starts for PHI.
What is the prediction for St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies?
Our model favors PHI at 64% to win, with a projected 7.8 total runs.