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St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees — Prediction & Pitchers

Tue, Aug 4, 7:05 PM ET · Yankee Stadium

St. Louis Cardinals
56-57
VS7:05 PM ET
New York Yankees
63-50

NYY 61% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.

⚾ Starting Pitchers

Hunter Dobbins
STL
Hunter Dobbins
3.74 ERA · steady · 2.1 R/5 allowed
Ryan Weathers
NYY
Ryan Weathers
3.99 ERA · sharp · 1.8 R/5 allowed

📊 Model Read vs Market

STL to win42%mkt 40%
NYY to win58%mkt 61%
Total (model)7.9 Rline 8.5

Biggest edge: STL ML — model 42% vs market 40% (+270pts).

💣 Home Run Watch

  • Ben Rice NYY23% to go yard (31 HR)
  • Jordan Walker STL20% to go yard (22 HR)
  • Alec Burleson STL19.4% to go yard (18 HR)
  • Jimmy Crooks STL19.1% to go yard (4 HR)

🌤️ Ballpark & Weather

Yankee Stadium · park factor 99 (#17) · Clear , 67°F, wind 5 mph — Fair — no weather edge

🔥 Hot Bats

STL Jordan Walker .288 AVG · 22 HR · .834 OPS
NYY Ben Rice .263 AVG · 31 HR · .907 OPS

🩹 Injury Report

STL
  • Ramon Urias 60-Day-IL Tendinitis
  • Max Rajcic 60-Day-IL Surgery
NYY
  • Cody Bellinger 10-Day-IL Strain
  • Carlos Rodon 15-Day-IL Inflammation
  • Giancarlo Stanton 10-Day-IL Strain
  • Aaron Judge 60-Day-IL Fracture
  • Clarke Schmidt 60-Day-IL Surgery

📈 Recent Form

STL 2-3 last 5 · L3
LLLWW
NYY 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWLWL

🎯 The Cobia Pick

Our read: NYY 58% to win, best value on STL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.

Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.

FAQ

Who is pitching in St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees?

Hunter Dobbins (3.74 ERA) starts for STL; Ryan Weathers (3.99 ERA) starts for NYY.

What is the prediction for St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees?

Our model favors NYY at 58% to win, with a projected 7.9 total runs.

See our full pick on this game → All MLB previews
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