CobiaCobia← cobiapicks.com

St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees — Prediction & Pitchers

Mon, Aug 3, 7:05 PM ET · Yankee Stadium

St. Louis Cardinals
55-57
VS7:05 PM ET
New York Yankees
63-49

NYY 65% on the money line; model leans UNDER 7.5.

⚾ Starting Pitchers

Michael McGreevy
STL
Michael McGreevy
3.57 ERA · struggling · 3.3 R/5 allowed
Cam Schlittler
NYY
Cam Schlittler
2.04 ERA · sharp · 1.4 R/5 allowed

📊 Model Read vs Market

STL to win26%mkt 36%
NYY to win74%mkt 65%
Total (model)7.4 Rline 7.5

Biggest edge: NYY ML — model 74% vs market 65% (+980pts).

💣 Home Run Watch

  • Ben Rice NYY23.7% to go yard (31 HR)
  • Amed Rosario NYY18.3% to go yard (10 HR)
  • Paul Goldschmidt NYY17.7% to go yard (16 HR)
  • Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY15.8% to go yard (16 HR)

🌤️ Ballpark & Weather

Yankee Stadium · park factor 99 (#17) · Light drizzle, 77°F, wind 7 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball

🔥 Hot Bats

STL Jordan Walker .284 AVG · 22 HR · .835 OPS
NYY Ben Rice .266 AVG · 31 HR · .915 OPS

🩹 Injury Report

STL
  • Ramon Urias 60-Day-IL Tendinitis
  • Max Rajcic 60-Day-IL Surgery
  • JoJo Romero 15-Day-IL Abdomen
NYY
  • Carlos Rodon 15-Day-IL Inflammation
  • Aaron Judge 60-Day-IL Fracture
  • Cody Bellinger 10-Day-IL Strain
  • Clarke Schmidt 60-Day-IL Surgery
  • Giancarlo Stanton 10-Day-IL Strain

📈 Recent Form

STL 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLLLW
NYY 2-3 last 5 · L2
LLWLW

🎯 The Cobia Pick

Our read: NYY 74% to win, best value on NYY ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.

Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.

FAQ

Who is pitching in St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees?

Michael McGreevy (3.57 ERA) starts for STL; Cam Schlittler (2.04 ERA) starts for NYY.

What is the prediction for St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees?

Our model favors NYY at 74% to win, with a projected 7.4 total runs.

See our full pick on this game → All MLB previews
21+ where legal · entertainment & informational · not financial advice · not affiliated with any league or Polymarket · problem gambling? 1-800-GAMBLER · © 2026 Cobia Picks