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St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds — Prediction & Pitchers

Thu, Aug 20, 12:40 PM ET · Great American Ball Park

St. Louis Cardinals
65-63
VS12:40 PM ET
Cincinnati Reds
61-66

STL 51% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.

⚾ Starting Pitchers

Michael McGreevy
STL
Michael McGreevy
3.48 ERA · sharp · 1.8 R/5 allowed
Brady Singer
CIN
Brady Singer
4.66 ERA · steady · 2.3 R/5 allowed

📊 Model Read vs Market

STL to win66%mkt 51%
CIN to win34%mkt 50%
Total (model)8.4 Rline 8.5

Biggest edge: STL ML — model 66% vs market 51% (+1530pts).

💣 Home Run Watch

  • Jordan Walker STL17.7% to go yard (25 HR)
  • Alec Burleson STL17.6% to go yard (21 HR)
  • Sal Stewart CIN17.3% to go yard (27 HR)
  • Jimmy Crooks STL16.9% to go yard (4 HR)

🌤️ Ballpark & Weather

Great American Ball Park · park factor 108 (#2) · Light drizzle, 73°F, wind 4 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball

🔥 Hot Bats

STL Jordan Walker .289 AVG · 25 HR · .849 OPS
CIN Sal Stewart .259 AVG · 27 HR · .810 OPS

🩹 Injury Report

STL
  • Ramon Urias 60-Day-IL Tendinitis
  • Max Rajcic 60-Day-IL Surgery
CIN
  • Spencer Steer 10-Day-IL Sprain
  • Tony Santillan 15-Day-IL Strain
  • Brandon Williamson 60-Day-IL Soreness
  • Hunter Greene 60-Day-IL Surgery
  • Blake Dunn 60-Day-IL Surgery

📈 Recent Form

STL 3-2 last 5 · W2
WWLWL
CIN 2-3 last 5 · L2
LLWLW

🎯 The Cobia Pick

Our read: STL 66% to win, best value on STL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.

Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.

FAQ

Who is pitching in St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds?

Michael McGreevy (3.48 ERA) starts for STL; Brady Singer (4.66 ERA) starts for CIN.

What is the prediction for St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds?

Our model favors STL at 66% to win, with a projected 8.4 total runs.

See our full pick on this game → All MLB previews
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