CobiaSt. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds — Prediction & Pitchers
Tue, Aug 18, 6:40 PM ET · Great American Ball Park
St. Louis Cardinals
64-62
VS6:40 PM ET
Cincinnati Reds
60-65
STL 53% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
STL
Kyle Leahy
3.38 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
CIN
Andrew Abbott
4.13 ERA · struggling · 2.9 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
STL to win69%mkt 53%
CIN to win31%mkt 48%
Total (model)8.5 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: STL ML — model 69% vs market 53% (+1620pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Jordan Walker STL — 15.9% to go yard (24 HR)
- Alec Burleson STL — 14.5% to go yard (21 HR)
- Sal Stewart CIN — 13.8% to go yard (26 HR)
- Elly De La Cruz CIN — 13.3% to go yard (20 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Great American Ball Park · park factor 108 (#2) · Patchy light drizzle, 69°F, wind 4 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball
🔥 Hot Bats
STL Alec Burleson .289 AVG · 24 HR · .848 OPS
CIN Elly De La Cruz .261 AVG · 26 HR · .819 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
STL
- Ramon Urias 60-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Max Rajcic 60-Day-IL Surgery
CIN
- Tony Santillan 15-Day-IL Strain
- Brandon Williamson 60-Day-IL Soreness
- Hunter Greene 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Spencer Steer 10-Day-IL Sprain
- Blake Dunn 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
STL 3-2 last 5 · L1
LWWWL
CIN 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLLLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: STL 69% to win, best value on STL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds?
Kyle Leahy (3.38 ERA) starts for STL; Andrew Abbott (4.13 ERA) starts for CIN.
What is the prediction for St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds?
Our model favors STL at 69% to win, with a projected 8.5 total runs.