CobiaCobia← cobiapicks.com

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds — Prediction & Pitchers

Mon, Aug 17, 1:40 PM ET · Great American Ball Park

St. Louis Cardinals
63-61
VS1:40 PM ET
Cincinnati Reds
59-64

STL 51% on the money line; model leans OVER 7.5.

⚾ Starting Pitchers

TBD
STL
TBD
ERA —
TBD
CIN
TBD
ERA —

📊 Model Read vs Market

STL to win57%mkt 51%
CIN to win43%mkt 50%
Total (model)9 Rline 7.5

Biggest edge: STL ML — model 57% vs market 51% (+660pts).

💣 Home Run Watch

  • Sal Stewart CIN16.8% to go yard (26 HR)
  • Jordan Walker STL16.5% to go yard (24 HR)
  • Elly De La Cruz CIN16% to go yard (20 HR)
  • Eugenio Suárez CIN15.7% to go yard (18 HR)

🌤️ Ballpark & Weather

Great American Ball Park · park factor 108 (#2) · Clear , 48°F, wind 2 mph — Cold — dense air suppresses (lean Under)

🔥 Hot Bats

STL Alec Burleson .288 AVG · 24 HR · .849 OPS
CIN Elly De La Cruz .262 AVG · 26 HR · .821 OPS

🩹 Injury Report

STL
  • Ramon Urias 60-Day-IL Tendinitis
  • Max Rajcic 60-Day-IL Surgery
CIN
  • Brandon Williamson 60-Day-IL Soreness
  • Tony Santillan 15-Day-IL Strain
  • Hunter Greene 60-Day-IL Surgery
  • Spencer Steer 10-Day-IL Sprain
  • Blake Dunn 60-Day-IL Surgery

📈 Recent Form

STL 4-1 last 5 · W2
WWLWW
CIN 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWWLL

🎯 The Cobia Pick

Our read: STL 57% to win, best value on STL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.

Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.

FAQ

Who is pitching in St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds?

TBD (— ERA) starts for STL; TBD (— ERA) starts for CIN.

What is the prediction for St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds?

Our model favors STL at 57% to win, with a projected 9 total runs.

See our full pick on this game → All MLB previews
21+ where legal · entertainment & informational · not financial advice · not affiliated with any league or Polymarket · problem gambling? 1-800-GAMBLER · © 2026 Cobia Picks