CobiaSt. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 16, 3:15 PM ET · Wrigley Field
St. Louis Cardinals
62-61
VS3:15 PM ET
Chicago Cubs
72-52
CHC 60% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
STL
Hunter Dobbins
3.40 ERA · steady · 2.1 R/5 allowed
CHC
Edward Cabrera
5.10 ERA · struggling · 2.6 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
STL to win48%mkt 41%
CHC to win52%mkt 60%
Total (model)9.1 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: STL ML — model 48% vs market 41% (+740pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Jordan Walker STL — 17.5% to go yard (23 HR)
- Alec Burleson STL — 16.8% to go yard (20 HR)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC — 14.9% to go yard (27 HR)
- Jimmy Crooks STL — 13.9% to go yard (4 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Wrigley Field · park factor 100 (#12) · Mist, 73°F, wind 4 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
STL Alec Burleson .285 AVG · 23 HR · .837 OPS
CHC Pete Crow-Armstrong .277 AVG · 27 HR · .905 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
STL
- Ramon Urias 60-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Max Rajcic 60-Day-IL Surgery
CHC
- Edward Cabrera 15-Day-IL Strain
- Ben Brown 60-Day-IL Strain
- Phil Maton 15-Day-IL Sprain
- Shelby Miller 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Riley Martin 60-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
STL 3-2 last 5 · L1
LWWLW
CHC 3-2 last 5 · W2
WWLWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: CHC 52% to win, best value on STL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs?
Hunter Dobbins (3.40 ERA) starts for STL; Edward Cabrera (5.10 ERA) starts for CHC.
What is the prediction for St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs?
Our model favors CHC at 52% to win, with a projected 9.1 total runs.