CobiaSt. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs — Prediction & Pitchers
Sat, Aug 15, 2:20 PM ET · Wrigley Field
St. Louis Cardinals
61-61
VS2:20 PM ET
Chicago Cubs
72-51
CHC 62% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
STL
Michael McGreevy
3.64 ERA · struggling · 3.7 R/5 allowed
CHC
Matthew Boyd
3.50 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
STL to win27%mkt 39%
CHC to win73%mkt 62%
Total (model)9 Rline 9.5
Biggest edge: CHC ML — model 73% vs market 62% (+1130pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC — 14.5% to go yard (27 HR)
- Jordan Walker STL — 13.3% to go yard (23 HR)
- Seiya Suzuki CHC — 13.2% to go yard (21 HR)
- Ian Happ CHC — 13.2% to go yard (20 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Wrigley Field · park factor 100 (#12) · Patchy rain nearby, 74°F, wind 6 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball
🔥 Hot Bats
STL Alec Burleson .285 AVG · 23 HR · .830 OPS
CHC Pete Crow-Armstrong .279 AVG · 27 HR · .912 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
STL
- Ramon Urias 60-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Max Rajcic 60-Day-IL Surgery
CHC
- Edward Cabrera 15-Day-IL Strain
- Ben Brown 60-Day-IL Strain
- Phil Maton 15-Day-IL Sprain
- Shelby Miller 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Riley Martin 60-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
STL 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWWL
CHC 4-1 last 5 · W3
WWWLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: CHC 73% to win, best value on CHC ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs?
Michael McGreevy (3.64 ERA) starts for STL; Matthew Boyd (3.50 ERA) starts for CHC.
What is the prediction for St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs?
Our model favors CHC at 73% to win, with a projected 9 total runs.