CobiaSt. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs — Prediction & Pitchers
Fri, Aug 14, 2:20 PM ET · Wrigley Field
St. Louis Cardinals
61-60
VS2:20 PM ET
Chicago Cubs
71-51
CHC 64% on the money line; model leans OVER 7.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
STL
Matthew Liberatore
5.15 ERA · struggling · 2.4 R/5 allowed
CHC
Clay Holmes
2.86 ERA · struggling · 2.9 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
STL to win35%mkt 37%
CHC to win65%mkt 64%
Total (model)9.4 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: CHC ML — model 65% vs market 64% (+110pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC — 17.5% to go yard (27 HR)
- Michael Conforto CHC — 16.5% to go yard (9 HR)
- Ian Happ CHC — 16.3% to go yard (20 HR)
- Seiya Suzuki CHC — 16.2% to go yard (20 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Wrigley Field · park factor 100 (#12) · Moderate rain at times, 71°F, wind 6 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball
🔥 Hot Bats
STL Alec Burleson .287 AVG · 23 HR · .836 OPS
CHC Pete Crow-Armstrong .281 AVG · 27 HR · .920 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
STL
- Ramon Urias 60-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Max Rajcic 60-Day-IL Surgery
CHC
- Edward Cabrera 15-Day-IL Strain
- Phil Maton 15-Day-IL Sprain
- Shelby Miller 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Riley Martin 60-Day-IL Strain
- Matt Shaw 10-Day-IL Sprain
📈 Recent Form
STL 3-2 last 5 · L1
LWLWW
CHC 3-2 last 5 · L1
LWWWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: CHC 65% to win, best value on CHC ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs?
Matthew Liberatore (5.15 ERA) starts for STL; Clay Holmes (2.86 ERA) starts for CHC.
What is the prediction for St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs?
Our model favors CHC at 65% to win, with a projected 9.4 total runs.