CobiaSan Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 2, 4:10 PM ET · Petco Park
San Francisco Giants
47-64
VS4:10 PM ET
San Diego Padres
57-54
SD 59% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
SF
Landen Roupp
4.12 ERA · sharp · 1.9 R/5 allowed
SD
Michael King
3.38 ERA · sharp · 1.9 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
SF to win45%mkt 42%
SD to win55%mkt 59%
Total (model)7.1 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: SF ML — model 45% vs market 42% (+350pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Rafael Devers SF — 13.8% to go yard (22 HR)
- Bryce Eldridge SF — 13.7% to go yard (11 HR)
- Heliot Ramos SF — 13.5% to go yard (9 HR)
- Willy Adames SF — 12.5% to go yard (18 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Petco Park · park factor 96 (#28) · Partly Cloudy , 70°F, wind 6 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
SF Luis Arraez .328 AVG · 22 HR · .810 OPS
SD Fernando Tatis Jr. .283 AVG · 23 HR · .753 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
SF
- Luis Arraez Day-To-Day Cramps
- Jesus Rodriguez 10-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
- Matt Chapman 10-Day-IL Strain
- Casey Schmitt 10-Day-IL Surgery
- Jonah Cox 10-Day-IL Strain
SD
- Joe Musgrove 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Lucas Giolito 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Nick Pivetta 60-Day-IL Strain
- Miguel Andujar 10-Day-IL Fracture
- David Morgan 15-Day-IL Inflammation
📈 Recent Form
SF 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWWLL
SD 4-1 last 5 · W2
WWLWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: SD 55% to win, best value on SF ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres?
Landen Roupp (4.12 ERA) starts for SF; Michael King (3.38 ERA) starts for SD.
What is the prediction for San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres?
Our model favors SD at 55% to win, with a projected 7.1 total runs.