CobiaSan Francisco Giants vs Boston Red Sox — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 23, 3:15 PM ET · Fenway Park
San Francisco Giants
52-77
VS3:15 PM ET
Boston Red Sox
70-59
BOS 68% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
SF
Matt Wilkinson
0.00 ERA · sharp · 1.9 R/5 allowed
BOS
Jake Bennett
3.46 ERA · struggling · 3.0 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
SF to win44%mkt 33%
BOS to win56%mkt 68%
Total (model)8.3 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: SF ML — model 44% vs market 33% (+1130pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Willson Contreras BOS — 14.8% to go yard (26 HR)
- Wilyer Abreu BOS — 13% to go yard (22 HR)
- Victor Bericoto SF — 12.7% to go yard (4 HR)
- Jarren Duran BOS — 12.5% to go yard (17 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Fenway Park · park factor 107 (#3) · Light drizzle, 65°F, wind 3 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball
🔥 Hot Bats
SF Luis Arraez .324 AVG · 26 HR · .800 OPS
BOS Willson Contreras .286 AVG · 26 HR · .933 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
SF
- Matt Gage 60-Day-IL Strain
- Joel Peguero 60-Day-IL Strain
- Jesus Rodriguez 10-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
- Marcelo Mayer 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Keaton Winn 15-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
BOS
- Trevor Story 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Garrett Crochet 60-Day-IL Strain
- Garrett Whitlock 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Roman Anthony 60-Day-IL Sprain
- Masataka Yoshida 10-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
SF 1-4 last 5 · L1
LWLLL
BOS 4-1 last 5 · W2
WWLWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: BOS 56% to win, best value on SF ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in San Francisco Giants vs Boston Red Sox?
Matt Wilkinson (0.00 ERA) starts for SF; Jake Bennett (3.46 ERA) starts for BOS.
What is the prediction for San Francisco Giants vs Boston Red Sox?
Our model favors BOS at 56% to win, with a projected 8.3 total runs.