CobiaSan Francisco Giants vs Boston Red Sox — Prediction & Pitchers
Fri, Aug 21, 7:10 PM ET · Fenway Park
San Francisco Giants
52-75
VS7:10 PM ET
Boston Red Sox
68-59
BOS 63% on the money line; model leans UNDER 7.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
SF
Logan Webb
3.50 ERA · sharp · 1.0 R/5 allowed
BOS
Sonny Gray
2.65 ERA · sharp · 1.1 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
SF to win36%mkt 38%
BOS to win64%mkt 63%
Total (model)6.6 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: BOS ML — model 64% vs market 63% (+140pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Victor Bericoto SF — 12.8% to go yard (4 HR)
- Willson Contreras BOS — 12.3% to go yard (25 HR)
- Rafael Devers SF — 12.2% to go yard (25 HR)
- Willy Adames SF — 12.2% to go yard (20 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Fenway Park · park factor 107 (#3) · Moderate rain, 65°F, wind 4 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball
🔥 Hot Bats
SF Luis Arraez .324 AVG · 25 HR · .800 OPS
BOS Willson Contreras .284 AVG · 25 HR · .927 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
SF
- Keaton Winn 15-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
- Marcelo Mayer 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Daniel Susac 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Harrison Bader 60-Day-IL Plantar Fasciitis
- Jesus Rodriguez 10-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
BOS
- Roman Anthony 60-Day-IL Sprain
- Masataka Yoshida 10-Day-IL Strain
- Tanner Houck 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Trevor Story 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Justin Slaten 15-Day-IL Inflammation
📈 Recent Form
SF 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLLWL
BOS 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: BOS 64% to win, best value on BOS ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in San Francisco Giants vs Boston Red Sox?
Logan Webb (3.50 ERA) starts for SF; Sonny Gray (2.65 ERA) starts for BOS.
What is the prediction for San Francisco Giants vs Boston Red Sox?
Our model favors BOS at 64% to win, with a projected 6.6 total runs.