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Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees — Prediction & Pitchers

Thu, Aug 13, 1:35 PM ET · Yankee Stadium

Seattle Mariners
56-65
VS1:35 PM ET
New York Yankees
68-52

NYY 57% on the money line; model leans UNDER 7.5.

⚾ Starting Pitchers

Logan Gilbert
SEA
Logan Gilbert
3.42 ERA · steady · 2.0 R/5 allowed
Max Fried
NYY
Max Fried
2.88 ERA · sharp · 1.7 R/5 allowed

📊 Model Read vs Market

SEA to win35%mkt 43%
NYY to win65%mkt 57%
Total (model)6.7 Rline 7.5

Biggest edge: NYY ML — model 65% vs market 57% (+720pts).

💣 Home Run Watch

  • Ben Rice NYY25.2% to go yard (32 HR)
  • Amed Rosario NYY18.9% to go yard (10 HR)
  • Paul Goldschmidt NYY18.6% to go yard (16 HR)
  • Spencer Jones NYY18.1% to go yard (5 HR)

🌤️ Ballpark & Weather

Yankee Stadium · park factor 99 (#17) · Clear , 74°F, wind 5 mph — Fair — no weather edge

🔥 Hot Bats

SEA Randy Arozarena .276 AVG · 19 HR · .822 OPS
NYY Ben Rice .259 AVG · 32 HR · .895 OPS

🩹 Injury Report

SEA
  • Cole Young Day-To-Day Head
  • Gabe Speier Day-To-Day Soreness
  • Matt Brash 15-Day-IL Strain
  • Cooper Criswell 60-Day-IL Strain
  • J.P. Crawford 10-Day-IL Inflammation
NYY
  • Cody Bellinger 10-Day-IL Strain
  • Kervin Castro 15-Day-IL Inflammation
  • Carlos Rodon 15-Day-IL Inflammation
  • Giancarlo Stanton 10-Day-IL Strain
  • Clarke Schmidt 60-Day-IL Surgery

📈 Recent Form

SEA 0-5 last 5 · L5
LLLLL
NYY 4-1 last 5 · W2
WWLWW

🎯 The Cobia Pick

Our read: NYY 65% to win, best value on NYY ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.

Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.

FAQ

Who is pitching in Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees?

Logan Gilbert (3.42 ERA) starts for SEA; Max Fried (2.88 ERA) starts for NYY.

What is the prediction for Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees?

Our model favors NYY at 65% to win, with a projected 6.7 total runs.

See our full pick on this game → All MLB previews
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