CobiaSeattle Mariners vs Houston Astros — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 16, 7:20 PM ET · Daikin Park
Seattle Mariners
58-66
VS7:20 PM ET
Houston Astros
63-61
HOU 56% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
SEA
Bryan Woo
4.15 ERA · sharp · 1.7 R/5 allowed
HOU
Hunter Brown
3.68 ERA · steady · 2.2 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
SEA to win48%mkt 45%
HOU to win52%mkt 56%
Total (model)7.7 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: SEA ML — model 48% vs market 45% (+320pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Yordan Alvarez HOU — 15.3% to go yard (36 HR)
- Dominic Canzone SEA — 15.1% to go yard (19 HR)
- Cal Raleigh SEA — 13.2% to go yard (12 HR)
- Julio Rodríguez SEA — 12.9% to go yard (19 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Daikin Park · park factor 99 (#16) · Clear , 81°F, wind 6 mph · roof closed — Roof park — weather neutral
🔥 Hot Bats
SEA Randy Arozarena .275 AVG · 19 HR · .818 OPS
HOU Yordan Alvarez .321 AVG · 36 HR · 1.058 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
SEA
- Taylor Ward Day-To-Day Quadriceps
- Matt Brash 15-Day-IL Strain
- Colt Emerson 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Cooper Criswell 60-Day-IL Strain
- J.P. Crawford 10-Day-IL Inflammation
HOU
- Carlos Correa 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Mike Burrows 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Brice Matthews 10-Day-IL Sprain
- Brandon Walter 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
SEA 2-3 last 5 · L2
LLWLW
HOU 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: HOU 52% to win, best value on SEA ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros?
Bryan Woo (4.15 ERA) starts for SEA; Hunter Brown (3.68 ERA) starts for HOU.
What is the prediction for Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros?
Our model favors HOU at 52% to win, with a projected 7.7 total runs.