CobiaSeattle Mariners vs Houston Astros — Prediction & Pitchers
Fri, Aug 14, 8:10 PM ET · Daikin Park
Seattle Mariners
57-65
VS8:10 PM ET
Houston Astros
62-60
HOU 54% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
SEA
George Kirby
3.68 ERA · steady · 2.3 R/5 allowed
HOU
Peter Lambert
3.09 ERA · steady · 2.0 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
SEA to win41%mkt 47%
HOU to win59%mkt 54%
Total (model)7.5 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: HOU ML — model 59% vs market 54% (+570pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Yordan Alvarez HOU — 17.4% to go yard (35 HR)
- Dominic Canzone SEA — 13.5% to go yard (19 HR)
- Cam Smith HOU — 13.1% to go yard (16 HR)
- Taylor Trammell HOU — 13.1% to go yard (7 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Daikin Park · park factor 99 (#16) · Clear , 80°F, wind 8 mph · roof closed — Roof park — weather neutral
🔥 Hot Bats
SEA Randy Arozarena .276 AVG · 19 HR · .822 OPS
HOU Yordan Alvarez .322 AVG · 35 HR · 1.057 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
SEA
- Taylor Ward Day-To-Day Quadriceps
- Cole Young Day-To-Day Head
- Matt Brash 15-Day-IL Strain
- Cooper Criswell 60-Day-IL Strain
- J.P. Crawford 10-Day-IL Inflammation
HOU
- Jose Altuve Day-To-Day Bruise
- Carlos Correa 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Mike Burrows 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Brice Matthews 10-Day-IL Sprain
- Brandon Walter 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
SEA 1-4 last 5 · L4
LLLLW
HOU 2-3 last 5 · L2
LLWLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: HOU 59% to win, best value on HOU ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros?
George Kirby (3.68 ERA) starts for SEA; Peter Lambert (3.09 ERA) starts for HOU.
What is the prediction for Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros?
Our model favors HOU at 59% to win, with a projected 7.5 total runs.