CobiaSan Diego Padres vs New York Mets — Prediction & Pitchers
Wed, Aug 19, 1:10 PM ET · Citi Field
San Diego Padres
68-59
VS1:10 PM ET
New York Mets
57-70
SD 55% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
SD
Michael King
ERA —
NYM
Robert Stock
ERA —
📊 Model Read vs Market
SD to win50%mkt 55%
NYM to win50%mkt 46%
Total (model)8.2 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: NYM ML — model 50% vs market 46% (+450pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Francisco Alvarez NYM — 13.3% to go yard (13 HR)
- Manny Machado SD — 12.8% to go yard (24 HR)
- Ty France SD — 12.8% to go yard (17 HR)
- Jackson Merrill SD — 12.7% to go yard (19 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Citi Field · park factor 97 (#26) · Mist, 71°F, wind 7 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🩹 Injury Report
SD
- Nick Pivetta 60-Day-IL Strain
- Jason Adam 60-Day-IL Strain
- Miguel Andujar 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Samad Taylor 10-Day-IL Strain
- Joe Musgrove 60-Day-IL Inflammation
NYM
- Mark Vientos 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Justin Hagenman 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Juan Soto 10-Day-IL Strain
- Devin Williams 15-Day-IL Strain
- Cionel Perez 15-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
SD 0-0 last 0
—
NYM 0-0 last 0
—
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: SD 50% to win, best value on NYM ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in San Diego Padres vs New York Mets?
Michael King (— ERA) starts for SD; Robert Stock (— ERA) starts for NYM.
What is the prediction for San Diego Padres vs New York Mets?
Our model favors SD at 50% to win, with a projected 8.2 total runs.