CobiaSan Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies — Prediction & Pitchers
Thu, Sep 17, 3:10 PM ET · Coors Field
San Diego Padres
83-69
VS3:10 PM ET
Colorado Rockies
56-96
SD 61% on the money line; model leans UNDER 10.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
SD
Michael King
3.03 ERA · sharp · 1.2 R/5 allowed
COL
Tanner Gordon
5.55 ERA · struggling · 3.0 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
SD to win77%mkt 61%
COL to win23%mkt 39%
Total (model)10.2 Rline 10.5
Biggest edge: SD ML — model 77% vs market 61% (+1560pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Jackson Merrill SD — 17.9% to go yard (25 HR)
- Manny Machado SD — 17.8% to go yard (28 HR)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. SD — 17.8% to go yard (23 HR)
- Hunter Goodman COL — 17.8% to go yard (38 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Coors Field · park factor 115 (#1) · Overcast , 72°F, wind 3 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
SD Fernando Tatis Jr. .286 AVG · 28 HR · .816 OPS
COL TJ Rumfield .300 AVG · 38 HR · .847 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
SD
- Gavin Sheets 10-Day-IL Sprain
- Jeremiah Estrada 15-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
- Ramon Laureano 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Jason Adam 60-Day-IL Strain
- Miguel Andujar 10-Day-IL Fracture
COL
- Hunter Goodman Day-To-Day Soreness
- Jose Quintana 60-Day-IL Sprain
- Willi Castro 10-Day-IL Plantar Fasciitis
- Chase Dollander 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Welinton Herrera 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
SD 4-1 last 5 · W3
WWWLW
COL 1-4 last 5 · L3
LLLWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: SD 77% to win, best value on SD ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies?
Michael King (3.03 ERA) starts for SD; Tanner Gordon (5.55 ERA) starts for COL.
What is the prediction for San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies?
Our model favors SD at 77% to win, with a projected 10.2 total runs.