CobiaSan Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies — Prediction & Pitchers
Tue, Sep 15, 8:40 PM ET · Coors Field
San Diego Padres
82-68
VS8:40 PM ET
Colorado Rockies
55-95
SD 64% on the money line; model leans UNDER 11.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
SD
Walker Buehler
4.61 ERA · steady · 2.3 R/5 allowed
COL
Kyle Freeland
6.37 ERA · steady · 1.9 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
SD to win59%mkt 64%
COL to win41%mkt 37%
Total (model)11.1 Rline 11.5
Biggest edge: COL ML — model 41% vs market 37% (+440pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Jackson Merrill SD — 17.9% to go yard (25 HR)
- Hunter Goodman COL — 17.9% to go yard (38 HR)
- Manny Machado SD — 17.7% to go yard (28 HR)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. SD — 17.7% to go yard (22 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Coors Field · park factor 115 (#1) · Patchy rain nearby, 72°F, wind 6 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball
🔥 Hot Bats
SD Fernando Tatis Jr. .289 AVG · 28 HR · .819 OPS
COL TJ Rumfield .299 AVG · 38 HR · .845 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
SD
- Gavin Sheets 10-Day-IL Sprain
- Jeremiah Estrada 15-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
- Ramon Laureano 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Jason Adam 60-Day-IL Strain
- Miguel Andujar 10-Day-IL Fracture
COL
- Sean Sullivan 15-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
- Jose Quintana 60-Day-IL Sprain
- Kyle Freeland 15-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
- Willi Castro 10-Day-IL Plantar Fasciitis
- Chase Dollander 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
SD 5-0 last 5 · W5
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COL 0-5 last 5 · L5
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🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: SD 59% to win, best value on COL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies?
Walker Buehler (4.61 ERA) starts for SD; Kyle Freeland (6.37 ERA) starts for COL.
What is the prediction for San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies?
Our model favors SD at 59% to win, with a projected 11.1 total runs.