CobiaSan Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies — Prediction & Pitchers
Mon, Sep 14, 8:40 PM ET · Coors Field · In Progress
San Diego Padres
81-68
1
VS
Colorado Rockies
55-94
1
SD 68% on the money line; model leans UNDER 11.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
SD
Casey Mize
3.74 ERA · struggling · 2.9 R/5 allowed
COL
Tomoyuki Sugano
5.32 ERA · struggling · 2.8 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
SD to win60%mkt 68%
COL to win40%mkt 33%
Total (model)11.2 Rline 11.5
Biggest edge: COL ML — model 40% vs market 33% (+700pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Jackson Merrill SD — 18.2% to go yard (25 HR)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. SD — 18% to go yard (21 HR)
- Manny Machado SD — 18% to go yard (28 HR)
- Ty France SD — 18% to go yard (20 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Coors Field · park factor 115 (#1) · Partly Cloudy , 90°F, wind 10 mph — Hot 90° — thin air, ball carries (lean Over)
🔥 Hot Bats
SD Fernando Tatis Jr. .289 AVG · 28 HR · .815 OPS
COL TJ Rumfield .299 AVG · 38 HR · .848 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
SD
- Gavin Sheets 10-Day-IL Sprain
- Jeremiah Estrada 15-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
- Ramon Laureano 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Jason Adam 60-Day-IL Strain
- Miguel Andujar 10-Day-IL Fracture
COL
- Sean Sullivan 15-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
- Jose Quintana 60-Day-IL Sprain
- Kyle Freeland 15-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
- Willi Castro 10-Day-IL Plantar Fasciitis
- Chase Dollander 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
SD 5-0 last 5 · W5
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COL 0-5 last 5 · L5
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🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: SD 60% to win, best value on COL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies?
Casey Mize (3.74 ERA) starts for SD; Tomoyuki Sugano (5.32 ERA) starts for COL.
What is the prediction for San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies?
Our model favors SD at 60% to win, with a projected 11.2 total runs.