CobiaPittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers — Prediction & Pitchers
Thu, Aug 6, 2:10 PM ET · American Family Field
Pittsburgh Pirates
57-59
VS2:10 PM ET
Milwaukee Brewers
71-43
MIL 56% on the money line; model leans OVER 7.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
PIT
Braxton Ashcraft
3.96 ERA · struggling · 3.3 R/5 allowed
MIL
Dustin May
4.38 ERA · steady · 1.9 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
PIT to win38%mkt 45%
MIL to win62%mkt 56%
Total (model)9.7 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: MIL ML — model 62% vs market 56% (+640pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Jake Bauers MIL — 19.6% to go yard (20 HR)
- Jackson Chourio MIL — 17.6% to go yard (14 HR)
- Garrett Mitchell MIL — 16.2% to go yard (8 HR)
- Esmerlyn Valdez PIT — 15.9% to go yard (14 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
American Family Field · park factor 100 (#13) · Clear , 65°F, wind 3 mph · roof closed — Roof park — weather neutral
🔥 Hot Bats
PIT Bryan Reynolds .306 AVG · 23 HR · .822 OPS
MIL Jake Bauers .276 AVG · 20 HR · .878 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
PIT
- Oneil Cruz 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Mitch Keller 60-Day-IL Not Specified
- Ryan O'Hearn 10-Day-IL Strain
- Konnor Griffin 60-Day-IL Strain
MIL
- Kyle Harrison Day-To-Day Cramps
- Jake Bauers Day-To-Day Soreness
- JoJo Romero 15-Day-IL Abdomen
- Sal Frelick 10-Day-IL Strain
- Joel Kuhnel 15-Day-IL Tendinitis
📈 Recent Form
PIT 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLWLL
MIL 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLLWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: MIL 62% to win, best value on MIL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers?
Braxton Ashcraft (3.96 ERA) starts for PIT; Dustin May (4.38 ERA) starts for MIL.
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers?
Our model favors MIL at 62% to win, with a projected 9.7 total runs.