CobiaPittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers — Prediction & Pitchers
Wed, Aug 5, 7:40 PM ET · American Family Field
Pittsburgh Pirates
57-58
VS7:40 PM ET
Milwaukee Brewers
70-43
MIL 56% on the money line; model leans OVER 7.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
PIT
Paul Skenes
3.90 ERA · struggling · 2.8 R/5 allowed
MIL
Kyle Harrison
3.01 ERA · struggling · 2.8 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
PIT to win41%mkt 45%
MIL to win59%mkt 56%
Total (model)9.6 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: MIL ML — model 59% vs market 56% (+350pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Esmerlyn Valdez PIT — 22.2% to go yard (14 HR)
- Brandon Lowe PIT — 17.6% to go yard (23 HR)
- Jake Bauers MIL — 16.9% to go yard (20 HR)
- Jackson Chourio MIL — 15.2% to go yard (14 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
American Family Field · park factor 100 (#13) · Clear , 72°F, wind 10 mph · roof closed — Roof park — weather neutral
🔥 Hot Bats
PIT Bryan Reynolds .306 AVG · 23 HR · .824 OPS
MIL Jake Bauers .280 AVG · 20 HR · .878 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
PIT
- Mitch Keller 60-Day-IL Not Specified
- Ryan O'Hearn 10-Day-IL Strain
- Evan Sisk 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Oneil Cruz 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Chris Devenski 60-Day-IL Not Specified
MIL
- Jake Bauers Day-To-Day Soreness
- Kyle Harrison 15-Day-IL Soreness
- JoJo Romero 15-Day-IL Abdomen
- Sal Frelick 10-Day-IL Strain
- Joel Kuhnel 15-Day-IL Tendinitis
📈 Recent Form
PIT 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWLWL
MIL 3-2 last 5 · W2
WWLLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: MIL 59% to win, best value on MIL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers?
Paul Skenes (3.90 ERA) starts for PIT; Kyle Harrison (3.01 ERA) starts for MIL.
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers?
Our model favors MIL at 59% to win, with a projected 9.6 total runs.