CobiaPittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers — Prediction & Pitchers
Tue, Aug 4, 7:40 PM ET · American Family Field
Pittsburgh Pirates
57-57
VS7:40 PM ET
Milwaukee Brewers
69-43
MIL 60% on the money line; model leans OVER 7.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
PIT
Jared Jones
3.81 ERA · sharp · 1.7 R/5 allowed
MIL
Logan Henderson
2.66 ERA · sharp · 1.4 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
PIT to win40%mkt 41%
MIL to win60%mkt 60%
Total (model)8.1 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: MIL ML — model 60% vs market 60% (+70pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Esmerlyn Valdez PIT — 22.1% to go yard (14 HR)
- Jake Bauers MIL — 19.8% to go yard (20 HR)
- Brandon Lowe PIT — 17.5% to go yard (23 HR)
- Jackson Chourio MIL — 17.5% to go yard (13 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
American Family Field · park factor 100 (#13) · Clear , 65°F, wind 6 mph · roof closed — Roof park — weather neutral
🔥 Hot Bats
PIT Bryan Reynolds .309 AVG · 23 HR · .832 OPS
MIL Jake Bauers .274 AVG · 20 HR · .878 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
PIT
- Mitch Keller 60-Day-IL Not Specified
- Ryan O'Hearn 10-Day-IL Strain
- Evan Sisk 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Oneil Cruz 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Chris Devenski 60-Day-IL Not Specified
MIL
- Kyle Harrison 15-Day-IL Soreness
- JoJo Romero 15-Day-IL Abdomen
- Sal Frelick 10-Day-IL Strain
- Joel Kuhnel 15-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Brandon Woodruff 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
PIT 2-3 last 5 · L2
LLWLW
MIL 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWWLL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: MIL 60% to win, best value on MIL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers?
Jared Jones (3.81 ERA) starts for PIT; Logan Henderson (2.66 ERA) starts for MIL.
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers?
Our model favors MIL at 60% to win, with a projected 8.1 total runs.