CobiaPittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins — Prediction & Pitchers
Thu, Aug 13, 1:10 PM ET · loanDepot park
Pittsburgh Pirates
58-64
VS1:10 PM ET
Miami Marlins
62-59
PIT 54% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
PIT
Braxton Ashcraft
4.08 ERA · struggling · 2.5 R/5 allowed
MIA
Tyler Phillips
3.47 ERA · sharp · 1.9 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
PIT to win46%mkt 54%
MIA to win54%mkt 47%
Total (model)8.5 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: MIA ML — model 54% vs market 47% (+770pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Griffin Conine MIA — 21.9% to go yard (13 HR)
- Esmerlyn Valdez PIT — 19.9% to go yard (14 HR)
- Owen Caissie MIA — 18.2% to go yard (12 HR)
- Heriberto Hernández MIA — 17.7% to go yard (17 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
loanDepot park · park factor 98 (#20) · Clear , 77°F, wind 6 mph · roof closed — Roof park — weather neutral
🔥 Hot Bats
PIT Bryan Reynolds .307 AVG · 25 HR · .811 OPS
MIA Otto Lopez .314 AVG · 17 HR · .809 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
PIT
- Endy Rodriguez Day-To-Day Soreness
- Konnor Griffin 60-Day-IL Strain
- Oneil Cruz 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Mitch Keller 60-Day-IL Not Specified
- Ryan O'Hearn 10-Day-IL Strain
MIA
- Anthony Bender 15-Day-IL Fracture
- Max Meyer 15-Day-IL Strain
- William Kempner 15-Day-IL Surgery
- Kyle Stowers 10-Day-IL Strain
- Andrew Nardi 60-Day-IL Fracture
📈 Recent Form
PIT 1-4 last 5 · L1
LWLLL
MIA 4-1 last 5 · L1
LWWWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: MIA 54% to win, best value on MIA ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins?
Braxton Ashcraft (4.08 ERA) starts for PIT; Tyler Phillips (3.47 ERA) starts for MIA.
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins?
Our model favors MIA at 54% to win, with a projected 8.5 total runs.