CobiaPittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins — Prediction & Pitchers
Wed, Aug 12, 6:40 PM ET · loanDepot park
Pittsburgh Pirates
58-63
VS6:40 PM ET
Miami Marlins
61-59
MIA 51% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
PIT
Carmen Mlodzinski
3.51 ERA · struggling · 2.4 R/5 allowed
MIA
Janson Junk
4.63 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
PIT to win51%mkt 49%
MIA to win49%mkt 51%
Total (model)8.6 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: PIT ML — model 51% vs market 49% (+250pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Esmerlyn Valdez PIT — 22% to go yard (14 HR)
- Brandon Lowe PIT — 18.2% to go yard (25 HR)
- Endy Rodríguez PIT — 16% to go yard (7 HR)
- Griffin Conine MIA — 15.4% to go yard (12 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
loanDepot park · park factor 98 (#20) · Partly cloudy, 84°F, wind 7 mph · roof closed — Roof park — weather neutral
🔥 Hot Bats
PIT Bryan Reynolds .304 AVG · 25 HR · .815 OPS
MIA Otto Lopez .318 AVG · 16 HR · .818 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
PIT
- Endy Rodriguez Day-To-Day Soreness
- Konnor Griffin 60-Day-IL Strain
- Oneil Cruz 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Mitch Keller 60-Day-IL Not Specified
- Ryan O'Hearn 10-Day-IL Strain
MIA
- Kyle Stowers 10-Day-IL Strain
- Max Meyer 15-Day-IL Strain
- Andrew Nardi 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Robby Snelling 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Adam Mazur 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
PIT 1-4 last 5 · L2
LLWLL
MIA 3-2 last 5 · L2
LLWWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: PIT 51% to win, best value on PIT ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins?
Carmen Mlodzinski (3.51 ERA) starts for PIT; Janson Junk (4.63 ERA) starts for MIA.
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins?
Our model favors PIT at 51% to win, with a projected 8.6 total runs.