CobiaPittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins — Prediction & Pitchers
Tue, Aug 11, 6:40 PM ET · loanDepot park
Pittsburgh Pirates
58-62
VS6:40 PM ET
Miami Marlins
60-59
PIT 52% on the money line; model leans OVER 7.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
PIT
Paul Skenes
3.96 ERA · struggling · 3.5 R/5 allowed
MIA
Eury Pérez
3.61 ERA · steady · 2.1 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
PIT to win46%mkt 52%
MIA to win54%mkt 49%
Total (model)9.1 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: MIA ML — model 54% vs market 49% (+530pts).
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
loanDepot park · park factor 98 (#20) · Clear , 80°F, wind 13 mph · roof closed — Roof park — weather neutral
🔥 Hot Bats
PIT Bryan Reynolds .306 AVG · 25 HR · .822 OPS
MIA Otto Lopez .318 AVG · 16 HR · .821 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
PIT
- Konnor Griffin 60-Day-IL Strain
- Endy Rodriguez Day-To-Day Soreness
- Oneil Cruz 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Mitch Keller 60-Day-IL Not Specified
- Ryan O'Hearn 10-Day-IL Strain
MIA
- Kyle Stowers Day-To-Day Soreness
- Max Meyer 15-Day-IL Strain
- Andrew Nardi 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Robby Snelling 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Adam Mazur 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
PIT 1-4 last 5 · L3
LLLWL
MIA 2-3 last 5 · L3
LLLWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: MIA 54% to win, best value on MIA ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins?
Paul Skenes (3.96 ERA) starts for PIT; Eury Pérez (3.61 ERA) starts for MIA.
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins?
Our model favors MIA at 54% to win, with a projected 9.1 total runs.