CobiaPittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 23, 4:10 PM ET · Dodger Stadium
Pittsburgh Pirates
63-68
VS4:10 PM ET
Los Angeles Dodgers
79-51
LAD 72% on the money line; model leans OVER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
PIT
Lake Bachar
3.75 ERA · steady · 2.2 R/5 allowed
LAD
Blake Snell
3.60 ERA · steady · 2.0 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
PIT to win45%mkt 28%
LAD to win55%mkt 72%
Total (model)8.8 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: PIT ML — model 45% vs market 28% (+1610pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Shohei Ohtani LAD — 17.7% to go yard (30 HR)
- Max Muncy LAD — 17.6% to go yard (26 HR)
- Mookie Betts LAD — 13.9% to go yard (16 HR)
- Rafael Flores Jr. PIT — 13.5% to go yard (6 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Dodger Stadium · park factor 97 (#25) · Clear , 72°F, wind 5 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
PIT Brandon Lowe .309 AVG · 27 HR · .800 OPS
LAD Shohei Ohtani .300 AVG · 30 HR · .940 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
PIT
- Endy Rodriguez 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Ryan O'Hearn 10-Day-IL Strain
- Konnor Griffin 60-Day-IL Strain
- Mitch Keller 60-Day-IL Not Specified
LAD
- Justin Wrobleski 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Edwin Diaz 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Tyler Glasnow 60-Day-IL Spasms
- Andy Pages 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Will Smith 60-Day-IL Inflammation
📈 Recent Form
PIT 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWWLL
LAD 5-0 last 5 · W5
WWWWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: LAD 55% to win, best value on PIT ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers?
Lake Bachar (3.75 ERA) starts for PIT; Blake Snell (3.60 ERA) starts for LAD.
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers?
Our model favors LAD at 55% to win, with a projected 8.8 total runs.