CobiaPittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Prediction & Pitchers
Sat, Aug 22, 7:15 PM ET · Dodger Stadium · Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
63-68
3
VS
Los Angeles Dodgers
79-51
4
FINAL · PIT 3–4 LAD
⚾ Starting Pitchers
PIT
Jared Jones
4.76 ERA · struggling · 3.4 R/5 allowed
LAD
Tarik Skubal
2.91 ERA · steady · 2.0 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
PIT to win31%mkt 0%
LAD to win69%mkt 100%
Total (model)9.3 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: PIT ML — model 31% vs market 0% (+3050pts).
🕵️ Smart-money lean: Los Angeles Dodgers — 6 sharps, 4 elite, 69% one-sided (conv 80)
💣 Home Run Watch
- Shohei Ohtani LAD — 17.7% to go yard (30 HR)
- Max Muncy LAD — 17.6% to go yard (26 HR)
- Mookie Betts LAD — 13.8% to go yard (16 HR)
- Rafael Flores Jr. PIT — 13.4% to go yard (6 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Dodger Stadium · park factor 97 (#25) · Clear , 70°F, wind 3 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
PIT Brandon Lowe .309 AVG · 27 HR · .800 OPS
LAD Shohei Ohtani .300 AVG · 30 HR · .940 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
PIT
- Endy Rodriguez 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Ryan O'Hearn 10-Day-IL Strain
- Konnor Griffin 60-Day-IL Strain
- Mitch Keller 60-Day-IL Not Specified
LAD
- Justin Wrobleski 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Edwin Diaz 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Tyler Glasnow 60-Day-IL Spasms
- Andy Pages 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Will Smith 60-Day-IL Inflammation
📈 Recent Form
PIT 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWWLL
LAD 5-0 last 5 · W5
WWWWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: LAD 69% to win, best value on PIT ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers?
Jared Jones (4.76 ERA) starts for PIT; Tarik Skubal (2.91 ERA) starts for LAD.
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers?
Our model favors LAD at 69% to win, with a projected 9.3 total runs.