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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Prediction & Pitchers

Fri, Aug 21, 10:10 PM ET · Dodger Stadium

Pittsburgh Pirates
63-66
VS10:10 PM ET
Los Angeles Dodgers
77-51

LAD 69% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.

⚾ Starting Pitchers

Bubba Chandler
PIT
Bubba Chandler
4.23 ERA · sharp · 1.5 R/5 allowed
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
LAD
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2.60 ERA · sharp · 1.4 R/5 allowed

📊 Model Read vs Market

PIT to win37%mkt 32%
LAD to win63%mkt 69%
Total (model)7.7 Rline 8.5

Biggest edge: PIT ML — model 37% vs market 32% (+510pts).

💣 Home Run Watch

  • Rafael Flores Jr. PIT15.7% to go yard (6 HR)
  • Esmerlyn Valdez PIT15% to go yard (14 HR)
  • Oneil Cruz PIT14.5% to go yard (15 HR)
  • Shohei Ohtani LAD13.3% to go yard (30 HR)

🌤️ Ballpark & Weather

Dodger Stadium · park factor 97 (#25) · Overcast , 69°F, wind 3 mph — Fair — no weather edge

🔥 Hot Bats

PIT Brandon Lowe .310 AVG · 27 HR · .798 OPS
LAD Shohei Ohtani .303 AVG · 30 HR · .942 OPS

🩹 Injury Report

PIT
  • Endy Rodriguez 10-Day-IL Inflammation
  • Ryan O'Hearn 10-Day-IL Strain
  • Konnor Griffin 60-Day-IL Strain
  • Mitch Keller 60-Day-IL Not Specified
LAD
  • Edwin Diaz 15-Day-IL Inflammation
  • Hunter Feduccia Day-To-Day Illness
  • Bobby Miller 60-Day-IL Soreness
  • Tyler Glasnow 60-Day-IL Spasms
  • Blake Treinen 60-Day-IL Inflammation

📈 Recent Form

PIT 3-2 last 5 · L1
LWLWW
LAD 3-2 last 5 · L2
LLWWW

🎯 The Cobia Pick

Our read: LAD 63% to win, best value on PIT ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.

Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.

FAQ

Who is pitching in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers?

Bubba Chandler (4.23 ERA) starts for PIT; Yoshinobu Yamamoto (2.60 ERA) starts for LAD.

What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers?

Our model favors LAD at 63% to win, with a projected 7.7 total runs.

See our full pick on this game → All MLB previews
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