CobiaPittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 2, 1:40 PM ET · Great American Ball Park
Pittsburgh Pirates
56-56
VS1:40 PM ET
Cincinnati Reds
52-58
CIN 57% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
PIT
Mitch Keller
4.83 ERA · steady · 2.0 R/5 allowed
CIN
Chase Burns
2.40 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
PIT to win48%mkt 43%
CIN to win52%mkt 57%
Total (model)8.7 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: PIT ML — model 48% vs market 43% (+590pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Esmerlyn Valdez PIT — 24.7% to go yard (14 HR)
- Brandon Lowe PIT — 19.4% to go yard (23 HR)
- Sal Stewart CIN — 19.4% to go yard (23 HR)
- Elly De La Cruz CIN — 19.1% to go yard (18 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Great American Ball Park · park factor 108 (#2) · Mist, 70°F, wind 4 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
PIT Bryan Reynolds .315 AVG · 23 HR · .832 OPS
CIN Elly De La Cruz .276 AVG · 23 HR · .858 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
PIT
- Ryan O'Hearn 10-Day-IL Strain
- Evan Sisk 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Oneil Cruz 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Spencer Horwitz 10-Day-IL Concussion
- Chris Devenski 60-Day-IL Not Specified
CIN
- Tony Santillan 15-Day-IL Strain
- Nick Lodolo 15-Day-IL Abrasion
- Blake Dunn 10-Day-IL Surgery
- Brandon Williamson 60-Day-IL Soreness
- Spencer Steer 10-Day-IL Sprain
📈 Recent Form
PIT 1-4 last 5 · L4
LLLLW
CIN 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: CIN 52% to win, best value on PIT ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds?
Mitch Keller (4.83 ERA) starts for PIT; Chase Burns (2.40 ERA) starts for CIN.
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds?
Our model favors CIN at 52% to win, with a projected 8.7 total runs.