CobiaPittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds — Prediction & Pitchers
Fri, Jul 31, 6:10 PM ET · Great American Ball Park
Pittsburgh Pirates
55-55
VS6:10 PM ET
Cincinnati Reds
51-57
PIT 54% on the money line; model leans OVER 7.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
PIT
Paul Skenes
ERA —
CIN
Hunter Greene
7.06 ERA · steady · 2.3 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
PIT to win56%mkt 54%
CIN to win44%mkt 47%
Total (model)9.6 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: PIT ML — model 56% vs market 54% (+220pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Esmerlyn Valdez PIT — 29.3% to go yard (14 HR)
- Brandon Lowe PIT — 22.6% to go yard (23 HR)
- Endy Rodríguez PIT — 18.5% to go yard (5 HR)
- Bryan Reynolds PIT — 17.9% to go yard (15 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Great American Ball Park · park factor 108 (#2) · Partly cloudy, 84°F, wind 4 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
PIT Bryan Reynolds .316 AVG · 23 HR · .835 OPS
CIN Elly De La Cruz .279 AVG · 22 HR · .859 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
PIT
- Evan Sisk 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Oneil Cruz 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Spencer Horwitz 10-Day-IL Concussion
- Rafael Flores Jr. 7-Day IL Concussion
- Chris Devenski 60-Day-IL Not Specified
CIN
- Blake Dunn 10-Day-IL Surgery
- Nick Lodolo 15-Day-IL Abrasion
- Tony Santillan 15-Day-IL Strain
- Brandon Williamson 60-Day-IL Soreness
- Spencer Steer 10-Day-IL Sprain
📈 Recent Form
PIT 2-3 last 5 · W2
WWLLL
CIN 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: PIT 56% to win, best value on PIT ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds?
Paul Skenes (— ERA) starts for PIT; Hunter Greene (7.06 ERA) starts for CIN.
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds?
Our model favors PIT at 56% to win, with a projected 9.6 total runs.