CobiaPhiladelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals — Prediction & Pitchers
Wed, Sep 16, 6:45 PM ET · Nationals Park
Philadelphia Phillies
83-68
VS6:45 PM ET
Washington Nationals
71-81
PHI 63% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
PHI
Zack Wheeler
3.14 ERA · sharp · 1.2 R/5 allowed
WSH
Jared Simpson
6.75 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
PHI to win57%mkt 63%
WSH to win43%mkt 38%
Total (model)8.1 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: WSH ML — model 43% vs market 38% (+570pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Kyle Schwarber PHI — 14.4% to go yard (45 HR)
- James Wood WSH — 13.2% to go yard (30 HR)
- Bryce Harper PHI — 12.5% to go yard (28 HR)
- Derek Hill PHI — 12.5% to go yard (10 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Nationals Park · park factor 100 (#15)
🔥 Hot Bats
PHI Bryce Harper .270 AVG · 45 HR · .881 OPS
WSH James Wood .267 AVG · 30 HR · .916 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
PHI
- Jesus Luzardo 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Felix Reyes 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Caleb Kilian 15-Day-IL Strain
- Brad Keller 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Johan Rojas 60-Day-IL Surgery
WSH
- CJ Abrams Day-To-Day Soreness
- Connelly Early 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Matt Waldron 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Drew Millas 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Orlando Ribalta 15-Day-IL Inflammation
📈 Recent Form
PHI 1-4 last 5 · L3
LLLWL
WSH 4-1 last 5 · L1
LWWWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: PHI 57% to win, best value on WSH ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals?
Zack Wheeler (3.14 ERA) starts for PHI; Jared Simpson (6.75 ERA) starts for WSH.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals?
Our model favors PHI at 57% to win, with a projected 8.1 total runs.