CobiaPhiladelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals — Prediction & Pitchers
Wed, Aug 12, 2:15 PM ET · Busch Stadium
Philadelphia Phillies
64-57
VS2:15 PM ET
St. Louis Cardinals
60-60
PHI 60% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
PHI
Zack Wheeler
2.69 ERA · struggling · 3.2 R/5 allowed
STL
Kyle Leahy
3.45 ERA · sharp · 1.7 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
PHI to win42%mkt 60%
STL to win58%mkt 41%
Total (model)7.8 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: STL ML — model 58% vs market 41% (+1710pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Kyle Schwarber PHI — 19.3% to go yard (35 HR)
- Jordan Walker STL — 17.3% to go yard (23 HR)
- Alec Burleson STL — 16% to go yard (19 HR)
- Bryce Harper PHI — 15.1% to go yard (25 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Busch Stadium · park factor 99 (#19) · Clear, 80°F, wind 8 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
PHI Kyle Schwarber .274 AVG · 35 HR · .911 OPS
STL Alec Burleson .285 AVG · 23 HR · .830 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
PHI
- Caleb Kilian 15-Day-IL Strain
- Brad Keller 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Tanner Banks 60-Day-IL Strain
- Rafael Marchan 10-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Johan Rojas 60-Day-IL Surgery
STL
- Ramon Urias 60-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Max Rajcic 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
PHI 2-3 last 5 · L2
LLWWL
STL 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: STL 58% to win, best value on STL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals?
Zack Wheeler (2.69 ERA) starts for PHI; Kyle Leahy (3.45 ERA) starts for STL.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals?
Our model favors STL at 58% to win, with a projected 7.8 total runs.