CobiaPhiladelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals — Prediction & Pitchers
Tue, Aug 11, 7:45 PM ET · Busch Stadium
Philadelphia Phillies
64-56
VS7:45 PM ET
St. Louis Cardinals
59-60
PHI 61% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
PHI
Cristopher Sánchez
2.65 ERA · sharp · 1.7 R/5 allowed
STL
Andre Pallante
3.63 ERA · sharp · 1.2 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
PHI to win52%mkt 61%
STL to win48%mkt 40%
Total (model)6.8 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: STL ML — model 48% vs market 40% (+810pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Jordan Walker STL — 24.1% to go yard (23 HR)
- Alec Burleson STL — 21.7% to go yard (19 HR)
- Jimmy Crooks STL — 18.6% to go yard (4 HR)
- Bryce Harper PHI — 18.5% to go yard (25 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Busch Stadium · park factor 99 (#19) · Clear , 81°F, wind 9 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
PHI Kyle Schwarber .274 AVG · 35 HR · .911 OPS
STL Alec Burleson .285 AVG · 23 HR · .831 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
PHI
- Caleb Kilian 15-Day-IL Strain
- Brad Keller 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Tanner Banks 60-Day-IL Strain
- Rafael Marchan 10-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Johan Rojas 60-Day-IL Surgery
STL
- Ramon Urias 60-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Max Rajcic 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
PHI 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLLWW
STL 3-2 last 5 · W2
WWLWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: PHI 52% to win, best value on STL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals?
Cristopher Sánchez (2.65 ERA) starts for PHI; Andre Pallante (3.63 ERA) starts for STL.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals?
Our model favors PHI at 52% to win, with a projected 6.8 total runs.